Nottingham Forest vs Burnley - Predictions, Stats & Odds
Premier League Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 33
Premier League - Gameweek 33
Sunday, 19 Apr 2026 • 14:00
City Ground (West Bridgford, Nottingham)
Goals
Game Review
Nottingham Forest delivered a commanding performance at the City Ground, defeating Burnley 4-1 in their Premier League clash. This result was somewhat unexpected given Burnley's recent form, but Nottingham Forest capitalized on their home advantage to secure a crucial victory. The match began with Burnley taking the lead just before halftime through Zian Flemming (GAP -0.0%), who found the net in the 45th minute. However, Nottingham Forest responded emphatically in the second half. Morgan Gibbs-White (GAP +0.7%) was the standout performer, scoring a remarkable hat-trick with goals in the 62nd, 69th, and 77th minutes. His clinical finishing turned the game on its head and showcased his attacking prowess. Igor Jesus added a fourth goal in the 90th minute to seal the victory for the home side. Tactically, Nottingham Forest's manager made two changes to the starting lineup compared to their previous match, bringing in Chris Wood and Dilane Bakwa, while Callum Hudson-Odoi and Igor Jesus were left out. These changes paid dividends, particularly with Gibbs-White's influential role in the attack. Burnley, on the other hand, made a single change with Kyle Walker (GAP -1.1%) coming into the side, replacing Bashir Humphreys. The Game Advantage Percentage (GAP) highlighted several key performances, with Chris Wood (GAP +4.1%) and Ola Aina (GAP +3.9%) contributing significantly to Nottingham Forest's dominance. In contrast, Burnley's Florentino Luís (GAP -3.8%) struggled to make an impact. Post-match reactions focused on Gibbs-White's exceptional display, with fans and pundits alike praising his ability to change the game's momentum. The victory propels Nottingham Forest further up the table, boosting their confidence as they aim to finish the season strongly. Burnley, meanwhile, will need to regroup quickly to avoid slipping further down the standings. Overall, this result underscores Nottingham Forest's potential to challenge higher up the table, while Burnley must address their defensive frailties to improve their league position.
Lineups
Nottingham Forest
| Pos | Player |
|---|---|
| GK | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| FWD | |
| FWD |
Substitutes
| 42' | Jair Cunhafor Murillo |
| 46' | Igor Jesusfor Dilane Bakwa |
| 76' | Ryan Yatesfor Chris Wood |
| 88' | Moratofor Omari Hutchinson |
| 89' | Nicolás Domínguezfor Morgan Gibbs-White |
Burnley
| Pos | Player |
|---|---|
| GK | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| FWD |
Substitutes
| 64' | Lyle Fosterfor Marcus Edwards |
| 76' | Jacob Bruun Larsenfor Lesley Ugochukwu |
| 83' | Josh Laurentfor Florentino Luís |
| 83' | Loum Tchaounafor Jaidon Anthony |
| 84' | Armando Brojafor Zian Flemming |
League Table after the game
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nottingham Forest | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 36 | D D W D W |
| 19 | Burnley | 33 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 34 | 67 | -33 | 20 | L D L L L |
Last Games
Head-to-Head
Premier League
Gameweek 33
What is GAP?
What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?
Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.
What is GAP?
GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.